Will Quantum Computing Break RSA-2048 Encryption by 2030?
Outcome
% Chance
Outcome
%Chance
Will Quantum Computing Break RSA-2048 Encryption by 2030?
Will Quantum Computing Break RSA-2048 Encryption by 2030?
Will Quantum Computing Break RSA-2048 Encryption by 2030?
By placing order, you agree to Terms & Conditions
Resolution Criteria
Resolves Yes if, by end of 2030, a quantum computer publicly factors an RSA-2048 key or otherwise breaks RSA-2048 encryption, demonstrated in a peer-reviewed publication or confirmed by experts (e.g. factoring a 2048-bit semiprime number used in RSA).
“Break” means the task is completed within a feasible timescale (e.g. days or weeks) using a quantum device, not merely a theoretical algorithm.
If RSA-2048 remains unbroken through 2030, or claims of a break cannot be verified, the market resolves No.
News
Opportunity ahead: Optimism or illusion?
The article discusses the 2026 Investment Outlook from Wellington, highlighting the balance between optimism and caution in the current investment landscape, influenced by macroeconomic factors and market dynamics.
University of Illinois System Announces Request for Proposals to Develop New Facilities at the Illinois Quantum and Microelectronics Park
The University of Illinois System has issued a Request for Proposals to develop the National Quantum Facility and Quantum Works at the Illinois Quantum and Microelectronics Park, aiming to establish a leading hub for quantum technology research and workforce development in Illinois.
ACERT Key Publications
The ACERT Key Publications webpage features significant research advancements, including a novel analytical expression for DEER spectroscopy that improves distance measurement accuracy in protein studies, and a pixel-wise denoising technique for MRI that enhances image quality while reducing scan time.
NRSM 2025 || Boulder, Colorado || Jan. 7
The article announces the 2025 National Radio Science Meeting scheduled for January 7-10 in Boulder, Colorado, highlighting a session on "Performance Showdown: Rydberg Sensors vs. Electrically Small Antennas," which will explore advancements in quantum technology applications in electromagnetics.
Cybersecurity Statistics 2025-2026
The article highlights that by 2025, the global cost of cybercrime is expected to reach $10.5 trillion, with 75% of small businesses experiencing cyber attacks, 43% being targeted specifically, and significant financial impacts from breaches, emphasizing the urgent need for improved cybersecurity measures among small businesses.
Cyber Assess Valydex TeamNorth Texas-Based Amera IoT Launches 'Quantum-Proof' Encryption Technology » Dallas Innovates
Amera IoT has launched AmeraKey Encryption, a patented quantum-proof encryption technology designed to secure digital communications against current and future threats, including quantum computing, by eliminating the need to transmit keys or ciphertext, thus ensuring robust security that does not degrade with advances in computing power.
David SeeleyTrending Topics
China has imposed restrictions on civilian-use rare-earth exports to Japan amid rising tensions, affecting export permits and impacting Japanese industries reliant on these materials.