Will Quantum Computing Break RSA-2048 Encryption by 2030?
Outcome
% Chance
Outcome
%Chance
Will Quantum Computing Break RSA-2048 Encryption by 2030?
Will Quantum Computing Break RSA-2048 Encryption by 2030?
Will Quantum Computing Break RSA-2048 Encryption by 2030?
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Resolution Criteria
Resolves Yes if, by end of 2030, a quantum computer publicly factors an RSA-2048 key or otherwise breaks RSA-2048 encryption, demonstrated in a peer-reviewed publication or confirmed by experts (e.g. factoring a 2048-bit semiprime number used in RSA).
“Break” means the task is completed within a feasible timescale (e.g. days or weeks) using a quantum device, not merely a theoretical algorithm.
If RSA-2048 remains unbroken through 2030, or claims of a break cannot be verified, the market resolves No.
News
IT-Sicherheit: UNIX bedroht - Update für IT-Sicherheitshinweis zu Red Hat OpenShift (github.com/sirupsen/logrus) (Risiko: mittel) | news.de
The article reports that on 07.04.2026 the BSI issued an update about a medium-severity security vulnerability (CVE-2025-65637) in Red Hat OpenShift and related UNIX-based systems, including Amazon Linux 2, RHEL, Fedora, SUSE, Oracle Linux, and Rocky Linux, enabling remote Denial of Service; Red Hat provides security advisories (RHSA-2026:6911) with patches and workarounds.
Sarah Knauth综述：凯文・米特尼克使用24块显卡组建超级计算机，用于破解密码
凯文·米特尼克用24块显卡组建超算以破解密码的报道概述，文中还提到对生成式AI监管的必要性、隐私保护措施，以及相关商业与品牌推广活动的琐碎情节。
冷魅资讯网Industry – Computerworld
A US court refused to stay the Pentagon’s policy of blacklisting Anthropic over supply-chain risk, creating conflicting regulatory signals for defense contractors deploying Claude, while other nearby tech-news items note IDC’s pessimistic outlook amid Middle East tensions and Nvidia’s acquisition of SchedMD raising scrutiny of open-source AI scheduling.
硅臻QRNG-10芯片：全国首款毫米级量子随机数发生器，已实现10K级量产出货-冷魅资讯网
硅臻宣布其QRNG-10芯片为全国首款毫米级量子随机数发生器，已实现10K级量产出货。
冷魅资讯网Pete Buttigieg makes his case to libertarians
Pete Buttigieg argues that libertarians should back him by emphasizing three core government roles—providing basic services, preventing others from making people unfree (through regulation of bosses, neighbors, and corporations), and restraining government itself—while criticizing current immigration enforcement as eroding public trust in agencies like ICE.
Nick GillespieMaking technology work for business – New Zealand – Computerworld
This page is a news hub from Computerworld New Zealand highlighting multiple tech stories, including major browser changes (Chrome and Vivaldi), the new MacBook Air with an M5 chip, laptop repairability rankings, a US court decision on Anthropic’s supply-chain blacklisting, Adobe’s CEO priorities for the “age of agents,” LinkedIn data usage concerns, iPhone speculation, Z.ai’s GLM-5.1 for autonomous AI coding agents, and several IT-in-depth pieces on Android dark mode, IDC’s tech outlook, AI ROI in IT, OpenAI’s four-day workweek proposal, and a leadership move at Minimus.
Boaz Gelbord: OWASP Security Spending Benchmarks Project Report for Q2 Published
The OWASP Security Spending Benchmarks Q2 report finds that SaaS dominates cloud usage, overall security spending remains largely unchanged by cloud adoption, many organizations lack due diligence and documentation for cloud security, data-breach risk is the top concern, and understanding of cloud-related compliance varies (PCI best understood, HIPAA least), with expectations that budgets and security management will increasingly focus on cloud relationships over time.
Posted by Boaz GelbordBitcoin Price Falls Below $112K as Bearish Signals Grow
Bitcoin’s price is slipping toward $110k with resistance at $112k, bearish signals including a weekly MACD death cross and a Taker Buy/Sell Ratio below 1.0 suggesting further downside, while potential short-term liquidity could trigger a squeeze toward $115k–$116k, though long-term holders have already secured substantial profits this cycle.
Coingabbar中共国防文件大泄密 骇客出售导弹设计图 | 超算中心 | NSCC | 骇客窃取 | 大纪元
Hackers claim to have breached China's National Supercomputing Center, stealing over 10PB of data from defense-related and academic institutions (including AVIC, COMAC, NU—DT, NWPU, and HUST), offering samples for sale for tens of thousands of dollars (paid via Monero), with ongoing speculation about the extent of access, potential use by foreign intelligence, and concerns about weak defenses and prolonged undetected access.