Will a $1B+ Company Have an AI as CEO by 2030?
Outcome
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Outcome
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Will a $1B+ Company Have an AI as CEO by 2030?
Will a $1B+ Company Have an AI as CEO by 2030?
Will a $1B+ Company Have an AI as CEO by 2030?
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Resolution Criteria
This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2029, a publicly traded company worth over $1 billion USD appoints a non-human AI system as its Chief Executive Officer (CEO) and openly acknowledges it as such. The AI must effectively be the top executive (either of the entire company or of a major listed subsidiary) with the title of CEO.
Market cap will be determined using the company’s closing market capitalization on the primary listing exchange on the appointment date (or previous trading day if announced on a non-trading day). Notably, one instance would satisfy this: for example, if a billion-dollar company announces its new CEO is an AI persona, we would resolve Yes.
Cases where an AI is given a symbolic “assistant” role or a title in name only (without genuine executive authority) would not count – the company must present the AI as running leadership decisions. If no qualifying AI CEO is appointed by end of 2029, the market resolves No.
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